Sunday 30 January 2011

Growth falls by 0.5%, credibility follows suit

Well, it's been a while, and a lot has happened, since I last blogged. Where do I start?

The biggest domestic issue is, still, the economy (or at least it is since X Factor and the Ashes have finished). In the last quarter of 2010, growth fell by 0.5%. David Cameron acknowledges this as disappointing, whilst also blaming the weather and the past government entirely for his Government's apparent failure.

The cavalry has quickly rallied around Mr Cameron, with George Osbourne claiming that back-pedalling on his expansive programme of spending cuts and tax hikes would lead to "turmoil." Bit late for that isn't it George?

Osbourne, who I like to think of as a modern day Sheriff of Nottingham-type, reckons that cutting the benefits and raising the taxes for the lower end of society, while relaxing taxes on their bosses and clamping down on worker's rights is the way out of this mess.

And hey, if it isn't, at least the rich stay rich huh?

Not that Labour were doing a great job. They did, after all, leave us with a massive budget-deficit and the mess is theirs to clear up. Maybe it would have been fitting to make them actually do that? Maybe it might have actually worked better?

The Brokeback Coalition came in to being basically on the strength of its constituent parts not being labour and its leaders not being Gordon Brown.

I'm no trade unionist, and I'm no big fan of Labour, or of Gordon Brown, but I would prefer Politics to be about policies, not personalities and not hyperbole and spin.

Labour got us in to this mess - we'll get you out of it!

That's the crux of the message from Cameron & Co. Their strength in the last election was in their opponent's previous failure, not their projected success. British people - many of whom are (staggeringly) not political experts - are inclined, in a crisis, to simply vote for change.

That's the nature of democracy in this country. We vote in one Government during a time of economic strife and pat ourselves on the back as we gradually climb out of the mire. Then the normal business-cycle completes its circuit and, surprise surprise, the economy contracts again. This might take 15 years later, but when it happens we turn on those we lauded so highly and vote them out. It happened in the mid-90s, when the Tories buggered up the country, and Tony Blair's New Labour flew in to the rescue. It has just happened again, in reverse, and it will continue to happen in a never-ending cycle of political nonsense, unless the public actually learn to see through the smoke and mirrors of politics.

Sadly, that will probably never happen. There are devout Tory fundamentalists out there. There are staunch Labour supporters. There are Green voters and there are even some confused folk who pledge allegiance to radical fringe parties, like the Lib Dems and the BNP.

But there are also the mass majority who don't know enough or care enough to form proper valid opinions other than those spoon-fed to them by our relentless media and its 24 hour news culture.

Last year, we saw Brown villified while Cameron and Clegg were put on pedestals. In view of the media representation, it's quite staggering that Labour still gave any competition at all.

How can the Tories be credible when they couldn't win outright, despite the circumstances being weighted heavily in their favour? And how can the Lib Dems be credible when they have back-pedalled on their own manifesto to get in to power?

The problem, as ever in UK politics, is that there is no credible alternative.